tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3299311926633621468.post7264522098942896463..comments2024-03-20T08:45:46.965-07:00Comments on Objective NHL: Save Percentage and Shots AgainstJLikenshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02570453428274983835noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3299311926633621468.post-30825994492053710782013-05-03T15:18:15.628-07:002013-05-03T15:18:15.628-07:00I don't know why they don't like to have s...I don't know why they don't like to have supportive material to prove that they are right. They just reach to a conclusion. Hostpphhttp://www.hostpph.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3299311926633621468.post-47580681033527744492008-12-11T15:56:00.000-08:002008-12-11T15:56:00.000-08:00Thanks for the comment, Vic.Your right in that it'...Thanks for the comment, Vic.<BR/><BR/>Your right in that it's unfortunate that neither Ken nor Alan decomposed the shot quality data by game situation (EV, PP, SH).<BR/><BR/>However, Chris at hockeynumbers also posts data on shot quality and does break it down situationally.<BR/><BR/>Here is the link: http://hockeystats.no-ip.org:81/nhl.php?id=0 <BR/><BR/>One caveat: The shot quality data for each team is for all of that team's games, and not simply for road games. Thus, I'm not sure to what extent his data is biased by the home arena effect and whether or not he has taken any steps to correct for this.JLikenshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02570453428274983835noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3299311926633621468.post-45856537576353900922008-12-10T04:51:00.000-08:002008-12-10T04:51:00.000-08:00JlikensGood stuff. The impact of the team on shot...Jlikens<BR/><BR/>Good stuff. The impact of the team on shot-quality-against is quite small according to the hockey anaytics model (and surely much of that is a result of an unbalanced schedule and randomness). I mean sometimes even in one game they review a couple of goals and determine that both or neither) were deflected well after the fact.<BR/><BR/>The fact that it repeats so well season to season shows that it has veracity, at least to my mind.<BR/><BR/>And as you say, if you could look at odd numbered games vs even numbered games in the same season, the reliability would surely be much higher.<BR/><BR/>Of course there is a whack of randomness in save percentage, and I doubt that SQA would have much predictive value (though SQF probably would, just looking at the relatively higher magnitudes of impact).<BR/><BR/>In any case, is there anywhere that posts SQA's for PP shots? I suspect that is a much bigger factor, and is probably driving the overall numbers.<BR/><BR/>Preferably 5v4 PP shots data would be gold.<BR/><BR/>I couldn't find any breakdowns at hockey analytics.Vic Ferrarihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16425585921916867277noreply@blogger.com